Direct Contact among Galactic Civilizations by Relativistic Interstellar Spaceflight*

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چکیده

An estimate of the number of advanced technical civilizations on planets of other stars depends on our knowledge of the rate of star formation; the frequency of favorably situated planets; the probabilities of the origins of life, of intelligence and of technical civilization ; and the iifetimes of technicai civilizations. These parameters are poorly known. The estimates of the present paper lead to -lo6 extant advanced technical civilizations in our Galaxy. The most probable distance to the nearest such community is then several hundred light years. Interstellar spaceflight at relativistic velocities has several obvious advantages over electromagnetic communication among these civilizations. One striking feature is that with uniform acceleration of 1 g to the midpoint of the journey, and uniform deceleration thereafter, all points in the Galaxy are accessible within the lifetime of a human crew, due to relativistic time dilation. Some of the technical problems in the construction of starships capable of relativistic velocities are discussed. It is concluded that with nuclear staging, fusion reactors, and the Bussard interstellar ramjet, no fundamental energetic problems exist for relativistic interstellar spaceflight. We assume that there exists in the Galaxy a loosely integrated community of diverse civilizations, cooperating in the exploration and sampling of astronomical objects and their inhabitants. If each such advanced civilization launches one interstellar vehicle per year, the mean time interval between samplings of an average star would be lo5 years, that between samplings of a planetary system with intelligent life would be IO' years, and that between sampling of another advanced civilization would be lo3 years. It follows that there is the statistical likelihood that Earth was visited by an advanced extraterrestrial civilization at least once during historical times. There are serious difficulties in demonstrating such a contact by ancient writings and iconography alone. Nevertheless, there are legends which might profitably be studied in this context. Bases or other artifacts of interstellar spacefaring civilizations might also exist elsewhere in the solar system. The conclusions of the present paper are clearly provisional.

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تاریخ انتشار 2004